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DD Geopolitics

2 Apr, 10:36

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Репост из: Rybar in English
Fwd from @
📝Expensive Independence📝
Europeans increasingly recognize the rejection of Russian oil and gas as a mistake

In Europe, the thesis that rejecting Russian energy sources is incompatible with the task of maintaining industry, prices, and any predictability of growth is sounding louder. Finnish politician Armando Mema calls Brussels' course "Euro-suicide," and in Germany this topic is being raised by the AfD.

German right-wing party deputy Markus Frohnmaier stated that Germany should return to purchasing Russian oil and gas, because without cheap and stable supplies, talk of energy independence looks increasingly unconvincing. On paper, Berlin found replacements in Norway, the Netherlands, and Belgium, and Russian oil and gas seemingly almost disappeared from Germany's energy balance.

🖍But the political problem hasn't gone away: replacement turned out to be possible, but the former price stability and industrial resilience — no longer. And suppliers are not the most reliable, and moreover — competition within Europe itself under current conditions is further intensifying the atmosphere.

🚩Brussels, meanwhile, continues to insist on a complete break with Russian supplies — it's a matter of principle. However, amid price pressure and stagnation, more and more politicians are cautiously acknowledging that you can completely strike Russian oil and gas from the European model, but building long-term stability on this scheme is far more difficult.

📌So the dispute here is not so much about principle or sanctions, but about whether Europeans are willing to continue paying for geopolitical demonstrativeness with deindustrialization, expensive energy, and contraction of their own economy. And the longer this experiment drags on, the more often within the EU the thought is voiced that without the former raw material base, sustainable development doesn't work out.
#EU #Russia
👁@evropar — on the brink of Europe's death

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