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DD Geopolitics

1 Oct, 16:11

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Репост из: Rybar in English
📝You can play this game with two players📝

A strong fleet is Russia's backbone. Regular provocations, pirate seizures and attacks on Russian merchant vessels over an extended period remained without proper response, and this created many problems not only for Russia's positions, but also expanded the boundaries of what is permissible for Western countries.

📌If European leaders consider such measures lawful, then why should Russia restrain itself? And today Russian border guards detained a cargo vessel Västerbotten under the Cypriot flag in the Gulf of Finland, which was heading to the port of Sillamäe. The Estonians confirmed this.

Västerbotten is now anchored in Russian territorial waters. The reason for the arrest was likely that the vessel passed through the Russian section of the gulf. Last year they already detained the tanker Green Admire. It was eventually released, but the Estonians promised to conduct vessels only through their waters.

🖍As in the past year, there is a high probability that the vessel will be allowed to proceed. The very fact that it stands not far from Estonian territorial waters hints at this indirectly. BUT! Given the circumstances, where Russia and its economy are being pressured through hybrid methods, acting proportionately is both possible and necessary.

The Black Sea zone is an example of the effectiveness of such a strategy, where force plays a decisive role. Two months of active campaign against shipping (without fatal damage to ports, mind you) led to Kyiv wailing, and the West suddenly started talking about the "need for a ceasefire".

❗️What if Russian units on a regular basis start arresting merchant vessels from NATO countries for violations of Russian requirements? Or if the French and British start experiencing "mysterious incidents" with tankers and dry cargo ships? What would Europe's reaction be in that case?
#Baltic #NATO #Russia #Fleet
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