Репост из: Rybar in English
🌍🇷🇺🇸🇾 On the logistical difficulties for the Russian Armed Forces in case of losing bases in Syria
The fall of the Assad government in Syria obviously puts the Russian naval base in Tartus and the Hmeimim air base in Latakia at risk. Both facilities played an important role in the logistics of Russian operations in Libya and the Sahel. Hmeimim, in particular, is a refueling point for aircraft transporting military equipment, personnel and other cargo.
📍In this regard, it is worth considering alternative options for ensuring logistics in our African operations:
▪️After Syria, the next logistical hub for the Russian military leadership is Libya. However, cargo planes can fly from Russia to Libya without refueling only if they are empty. Heavy, loaded transport vehicles will not be able to cover such long distances without stops.
Thus, supplying operations in Africa through Libya becomes very expensive and unstable. Of course, there are naval bases in Tobruk, but their control is conditioned by the situation of dual power in Libya. At any moment, the situation may worsen, so it is not worth relying on them.
▪️Another solution to this situation could be a base on the Red Sea in Port Sudan, the negotiations on the creation of which intensified this year.
But it should be borne in mind that the civil war in Sudan is not over yet, complicating the negotiations. The sluggishness of Russian agencies in actively supporting the official Sudanese government also plays a role - because of this, the chances of getting our PMTO base are decreasing every day.
🔻The loss of Syria as a transshipment base could be a blow not only to our positions in the Middle East, but also in Africa.
If we want to maintain them, we should not forget that in addition to military measures, it is important to maintain an economic and political presence. The latter is often overlooked, which leads to situations similar to the CAR - our military is respected, but political and economic proposals are ignored.
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#Africa #Russia
@rybar
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The fall of the Assad government in Syria obviously puts the Russian naval base in Tartus and the Hmeimim air base in Latakia at risk. Both facilities played an important role in the logistics of Russian operations in Libya and the Sahel. Hmeimim, in particular, is a refueling point for aircraft transporting military equipment, personnel and other cargo.
📍In this regard, it is worth considering alternative options for ensuring logistics in our African operations:
▪️After Syria, the next logistical hub for the Russian military leadership is Libya. However, cargo planes can fly from Russia to Libya without refueling only if they are empty. Heavy, loaded transport vehicles will not be able to cover such long distances without stops.
Thus, supplying operations in Africa through Libya becomes very expensive and unstable. Of course, there are naval bases in Tobruk, but their control is conditioned by the situation of dual power in Libya. At any moment, the situation may worsen, so it is not worth relying on them.
▪️Another solution to this situation could be a base on the Red Sea in Port Sudan, the negotiations on the creation of which intensified this year.
But it should be borne in mind that the civil war in Sudan is not over yet, complicating the negotiations. The sluggishness of Russian agencies in actively supporting the official Sudanese government also plays a role - because of this, the chances of getting our PMTO base are decreasing every day.
🔻The loss of Syria as a transshipment base could be a blow not only to our positions in the Middle East, but also in Africa.
If we want to maintain them, we should not forget that in addition to military measures, it is important to maintain an economic and political presence. The latter is often overlooked, which leads to situations similar to the CAR - our military is respected, but political and economic proposals are ignored.
High-resolution map
English version
#Africa #Russia
@rybar
Support us Original msg